ZZzone

Wednesday, June 28, 2006

Jolin's Dancing Diva

其实我想说一句:贼TM难听。。。歌,特别是作为歌星唱的歌,有时候不应该是你那样唱的。。。声线的确一般,是个女生都能发出类似的声音,远不及电眼张韶涵,她也就适合一些舞曲,用强力活泼的节奏和伴奏来掩盖曲目旋律和自身嗓音的苍白。。。

最近经历一次比较严重的personal data loss,以及自己摸索的比较繁琐的data recovery procedures,涉及移动硬盘FAT表的损坏及修复,毕竟不是搞硬件的人,竟然还用到了软驱回到瘟酒吧时代的98启动盘启动电脑下的若干DOS命令和DOS软件。。。另搞到一个MOTOROLA A1200的Smartphone,看什么时候盘熟了后写个简短评测。

Monday, June 26, 2006

Mr. Huang Lost His Control, Completely

Australian goalkeeper Mark Schwarzer (L) fails to block a penalty kick scored by Italian midfielder Francesco Totti (back-C) during the round of 16 World Cup football match between Italy and Australia at Kaiserslautern's Fritz-Walter Stadium, 26 June 2006. Italy won the match 1-0. AFP PHOTO / PATRICK HERTZOG timestamp: 1151341380 (AFP / afp.com)


建翔同学太TMD NB了。。。

Saturday, June 24, 2006

NYT WC06 "Playoffs" Tree

France escaped breathtakingly and stayed alive, and the real football has just begun...

Tuesday, June 20, 2006

Group Standings as of 2nd Round

A self-made one with tables imported into Excel, beautiful isn't it?

Saturday, June 17, 2006

All 2002 World Cup Goals

46 min 36 sec, a little bit long and a little bit low-quality. Do you remember each of them and each signature celebration? I do...especially those from Brazil and against China. :(

Thursday, June 15, 2006

An Old IQ Test

Found in a forum where people discuss the World Cup..:) I remember I made almost a same test many many years ago and the result was around 130 (127 maybe?), but this time I got a 138, wow, am I getting smarter after high education? Maybe, maybe not, there are many times when I still feel I'm so stupid in many ways and was destined not to achieve much in my life...

40 little easy "geometric" puzzles in up to 40 minutes, with the result more accurate than most other IQ tests out there on the internet I believe, have some fun if you never knew about those similar tests.

http://www.iqtest.dk/main.swf

另外,本想抽空评下球,发现网上博客有无数评球的,就不凑热闹了,评NBA现在的总决赛我也许很在行,足球大赛像世界杯就是喜欢,开了电视基本就不会关了,原来经常还踢两脚找感觉,但评球还很不专业,而且发现中国球迷的汉语和外国球迷的英语评法也完全不一样,就懒得献丑了。。。:P

Wednesday, June 14, 2006

Ronaldo Video Compilation

Ronaldo yesterday in Berlin V.S. The very "alien" himself in his earlier career...

Saturday, June 10, 2006

World Cup & Marriage

笑死我了。另外一个简短通知:球赛期间(包括NBA决赛)可能会停博或更新变慢,特此通告。:)

老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

老公是个球迷,从上个礼拜开始,他就在为世界杯调休假期,好说歹说,终于和同事、领导达成了休假协议,代价是世界杯之后3个月没有周六日,没有加班费。从今天开始他开始休世界杯假期,他说这30天他就打算不出门了,白天睡觉,晚上看球。还从超市买了5箱啤酒(肯定不够,他还要买的。),3箱方便面,还有N种他爱吃的零食。家里的客厅、厨房、冰箱全部被他买的东西占满了。

其实,老公喜欢足球我并不反对。我觉得男子汉喜欢体育运动时非常好的。但是,现在老公这个架势把我吓住了,我真不知道要怎么办才好。这一个月,老公不能陪我,他的作息时间也要颠倒,后三个月,他没有周末休假,还是不能陪我,而且长时间的连续工作,我担心他会心累身类,难保会发脾气,这样我们之间肯定会争吵。天哪,我跟我老公本来关系很好的,这个世界杯一来,危机重重,怎么办才好呢?大家帮忙出出主意吧!我真的不想因为老公看世界杯而和他发生争吵之类的。怎么样才能两样都兼顾好呢?

今天晚上世界杯就要开幕了,我打电话回去,老公正在睡觉呢。估计从今天开始我们两个就要分床而睡了。难过。难道世界杯的魅力真的就那么大吗?难道我们3年的感情就抵不过那个小小的球吗?

我想请问天涯的JJMM们,你们有没有遇到这种情况啊。遇到这种情况你们怎么办啊?难道我真的要成为足球寡妇吗?有没有什么办法让老公不那么迷恋世界杯啊???

欢迎有同样困惑的朋友参与我的博客讨论。我希望找到一种办法,把老公从世界杯手里抢回来!!

作者: 拒绝世界杯女生 2006-6-9 14:22

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

买那么多方便面,证明他不想麻烦你给他做饭吃。证明他很疼你。其实很多男球迷都梦想过某一届世界杯整个把时差倒到举办地一个月颠倒黑白看个痛快,可绝大多数人做不到。他有这样的机会,是他的服气,就圆他这个梦吧。男人有时就像个孩子,在看世界杯的时候,女人有时就像个孩子,在大街上发现自己很喜欢很想买又很不实用的东西的时候。他可能一辈子就这一次机会看世界杯看的如此投入,那街上另你尖叫的那东西他给你买过几次呢?

作者: 低中锋 2006-6-9 14:32

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

我觉得你应该陪他一起看,这样增加你们之间的感情,而且2个人一起看会更激情的。呵呵尤其是一男一女。我如果是你老公的话我会邀请你一起看球的。呵呵

作者: 七夜づ颠覆天下 2006-6-9 14:38

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

对呀对呀,要是晚上老公看球,就会吵得我没法睡觉,没法睡觉就没法工作,没法工作就没有奖金,没有奖金就没钱买PP的东东,万一老公要是为了看球不上班,那这一个月就甭过了,姐妹们,大家支持一下吧~~~~~~~~~反世组,哈哈~~~

作者: 无耻的平淡生活 2006-6-9 14:44

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

你老公只能用四个字形容:令人发指!!
靠,竟然能请30天假,我TM连星期六都没有,熬完通宵看球还得去工作呢!

作者: 125.89.3.* 2006-6-9 14:49

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

你老公好了
我已经为了这个事情和老婆离婚了


作者: 见帖必顶 2006-6-9 14:51

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

哇塞
你老公厉害啊
真羡慕
美女 你们就一起看嘛 多好啊 以后有了孩子3口一块看 太帅了!
反正我以后找老公肯定要找超级大球迷
要不然他跟我抢遥控器怎么办?~~~~~~~~~
世界杯万岁~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

作者: cyndi宝宝 2006-6-9 14:57

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

哎,有同感呀,我们是几个同学一起合租的房子,上个周他们几个男生就在计划观看世界杯的战场,要去搬几箱啤酒回来,全部放到冰箱了,把我们放食物的位置全部霸占掉;而且还会来好多同学,他们简直疯了。

作者: sebrinazhang 2006-6-9 14:57

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

狗日的世界杯

作者: 电话无人接听 2006-6-9 15:05

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

四年一届,大姐,放老公一马吧。。。事后他愿做牛做马。。。。
要做到收放自如,有机会陪他一起看球。。。。

作者: 周星星725 2006-6-9 15:08

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

呵呵`~ 你老公不可否认是个人才~男人满足你们的时候多了去了,难不成等了四年的世界杯你会忍心不让他高兴高兴?
他也为你着想了哦`
要不然你以为吃30天方便面容易?

作者: 我爱河滨公园 2006-6-9 15:26

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

呵呵,我完全能理解楼主姐姐的心情。说实话我也是球迷,以前和老爸一起看,现在和男朋友一起看,对啦,还得外加上他们那一大票哥们。我父母常年在国外,家里就我一个人住,地方大,还没人管,那一大群人早就相中我家了,买的啤酒都够开店了,客厅的地上铺了凉席,把音响一开,家里折腾得没人样,看到后半夜结束了就席地而睡,几条大汉横七竖八地躺在地上真是别样壮观。即使这样我还是不介意的,因为我爱足球,我更爱男友,很庆幸我们有共同爱好,所以楼主姐姐还是尽量包容一下吧,为了喜好不同而伤了夫妻感情太不值了

作者: 碧血佳城 2006-6-9 15:31

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

楼主姐姐啊,你有个这样的老公多幸福啊 ,有个看世界杯的地方。向我们学校变态的男生宿舍通宵给电,可怜了我们女生球迷,要可怜巴巴的出去看还要花钱。还好最后我们租了一个月的房子,随时可以看。。。

作者: kopkerry 2006-6-9 15:47

回复 1:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

这时候女人/孩们纠集朋友们出门旅游, 撮麻, 跳舞, 逛街什么的女性群众性活动, 不也两相宜吗?
  
  首先, 别担心你老公/男友的生命安全, 他们有吃有喝的,深更半夜也只不过在家看球, 喝高了也不可能出车祸.
  
  其次, 别担心你老公/男友会借此机会花心. 要花心的男人, 用得着用四年一次的借口, 那不太 SB 了吗.
  
  最后, 别担心你们的感情,婚姻, blah blah blah. 男人们好容易得点爱好(中国队还没出线呢), 他们也就痴迷 30 天而已, 他们根本就没有时间去考虑其他问题.
  
  最最后, 千万别委屈自己, 做伪球迷, 试图以此表示你的善解人意和体贴. 你既然不是球迷, 这么做很没意思. 让真球迷 *陪* 假球迷看球, 回答愚蠢/低级问题, 那才叫无聊加伤心, 别提什么体贴不体贴, 整个一添乱. 你该干嘛干嘛去吧, 而且绝对不要评球.
  
  就此.
  
  - 一个不爱看球的大老爷们 (是的, 我根本就不是球迷, 但是我了解男人的心态)

作者: 218.249.44.* 2006-6-9 16:08

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

太简单了!你强奸他!

作者: 61.134.9.* 2006-6-9 17:53

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

他爱看球,你就穿个足球内衣在他面前晃,看他对哪个球有反应!

作者: 125.89.3.* 2006-6-9 17:59

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

我还真有点替我以后的老婆担心了 哈 
世界杯 欧洲杯 加上每年的冠军联赛 各国家对的比赛 各国的联赛 哈哈
JJMM 你们是很掺 不过你们要也喜欢足球地话 就好过了 对 要找个喜欢足球地老婆 老婆老婆等我 哦 我来了

作者: 李萌紫 2006-6-9 18:29

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

男友平时看足球倒没什么意见,我也尽量陪着。可是世界杯好长呀,这样没日没夜的看,男友白天肯定睡觉,晚上看球,我怎么办,一个月呀,JJMM们我可忍受不了一个月的独身生活,我平时哪个要求很多的,怎么办?。。。。。。。。。。。

作者: 221.217.177.* 2006-6-9 18:49

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

昨晚他折腾了一晚上,他喜欢的德国队赢啦。本来平时他在这个时候都会陪我出去的,但是现在他要呼呼睡大觉。

作者: 222.129.105.* 2006-6-10 10:36

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

我家那位,现在也在呼呼大睡,更气人的是满厅的啤酒瓶,要是这一个月都这样 我要疯了

作者: 221.217.177.* 2006-6-10 10:49

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

作为一个女生
我建议你这样
说实话就四年看那么一次也不算过分
我会由着他
但是我会逼他晚上等我回来做饭
反正他白天睡觉
一般晚上9:00或12:00过后才有比赛啊
从我下班回家到球赛前这段时间两个人都是空的
我会要他等我回来做饭
然后一起吃
舍不得他总是吃泡面
吃完也可以聊一下天
甚至还可以偶尔拖他出去散步
因为整天这样对身体肯定不好
我也可以听他跟我说说比赛
因为我也有点兴趣
只是没那么狂热
也要上班
或者还可以在这段时间里亲热一下啊
只是当然天天是不可能的了,呵呵
其实心里肯定有气的
但是就让他看完吧
看完后再发下脾气
甚至闹几下也还不算过分
相信他也会在得到满足后好好哄你疼的
至于他之后要加几个月班
那没办法啦
谁叫他要看
只是下班回来要陪我玩!
周末我自己找朋友去!
呵呵

作者: 222.200.51.* 2006-6-10 12:41

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

昨晚陪老公一起看比赛了,不过看着看着就在他怀里睡着啦。不过进球的时候他一高兴,抱着俺一阵猛摇。。。。醒了,看着他像个孩子似的,感动。。。

作者: 222.129.105.* 2006-6-10 12:58

回复:老公看世界杯,把家里变成杂货铺了

53楼的姐姐。。小弟来满足你好了。。嘿嘿

作者: 61.153.243.* 2006-6-10 13:49

Tuesday, June 06, 2006

World Cup 2006 Germany - Groups A-F

Source: http://soccer.sportsnet.tsn.ca

General analysis of each team in Group A to F of the coming World Cup in Germany, starting at 11:30 am ET, Friday, June 9 with the opening match between the home team Germany and Costa Rica.

Group G & H are yet to be posted.


Complete TV broadcasting schedule on TSN and Rogers SportsNet in Canada: http://soccer.sportsnet.tsn.ca/tv/

FIFA World Cup Official Site RSS news feeds:
Chinese: http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com/06/cn/fwc.rss
English: http://fifaworldcup.yahoo.com/06/en/fwc.rss

Germany should advance in Group A

GERMANY

Every World Cup host has advanced through the group stage when playing on home soil, and Germany is expected to have no problem maintaining that trend at this year's tournament.

The Germans were put into Group A before December's draw to ensure they would play in the country's three biggest stadiums. And they did just about as well as they could have hoped by getting Poland, Ecuador and Costa Rica as opponents in the first round.

Just reaching the second round won't be good enough for a team that is searching for its fourth World Cup title, but it may have to suffice if the criticism heaped on the team and its coach is accurate.

Juergen Klinsmann, who helped Germany win its last title in 1990, took over as coach after Rudi Voeller's disappointing showing at the 2004 European Championship.

Since then, few believe Germany has developed what it takes to win another title. But playing at home can be a powerful force for a team that has players such as Michael Ballack, Bastian Schweinsteiger and Miroslav Klose.

"We want to use the home-field advantage and we want the team to really believe in itself," Klinsmann said.

At the last World Cup, the Germans didn't seem to have a chance, either. Still, they ended up reaching the final.

After getting through the first round with two easy wins and a draw, Germany beat Paraguay, the United States and South Korea in the knockout rounds before losing to Brazil 2-0 in the final.

Another trip to the championship match is possible, of course. But a difficult second-round matchup with England or Sweden also is possible.

Germany opens the tournament June 9 against Costa Rica in Munich. Poland, which qualified as one of the two best second-place teams in Europe, faces Ecuador a few hours later in Gelsenkirchen.

On June 14, Germany takes on Poland in Dortmund. The Poles, who finished third the last time the World Cup was held in Germany in 1974, will be looking for their first win in 15 matches against their European rival.

Ecuador and Costa Rica play on June 15 in Hamburg, and the Ecuadoreans face Germany on June 20 in Berlin at the same time Poland meets Costa Rica in Hanover.

Two teams will advance from the group; all four consider themselves worthy.

Key Player: Midfielder Michael Ballack. The German captain, who recently left Bayern Munich for Chelsea, is an attacking midfielder with a nose for goal. He has scored 30 times in 63 appearances for his country.

Outlook: Host teams have done well at the World Cup, despite automatic qualification. The Germans lost to Brazil in the 2002 final and have been in transition since Klinsmann experimented with his squad. The loss of midfielder Sebastian Deisler, injured in a training tackle by Calgary-born Owen Hargreaves, will hurt.

POLAND

Poland had an awful tournament four years ago, going home after the first round despite a victory over the United States, but coach Pawel Janas sees an opportunity to advance this time.

"I believe that we will at least advance from the group," Janas said. "But you can't just talk about that, you have to prepare and show it on the field."
Janas's biggest asset will be two solid strikers and two tough goalkeepers.

Maciej Zurawski and Tomek Frankowski lead an attack that averaged almost three goals a game in qualifiers. And Jerzy Dudek and Artur Boruc will be battling for the starting job in net.

Key Player: Striker Maciej Zurawski scored 16 goals to help Glasgow Celtic win the Scottish championship this season and added more in qualifying for his country.

Outlook: A pair of 2-1 losses to England aside, the Poles were perfect in qualifying and outscored their opposition 27-9. Will be looking for redemption after a disappointing showing at the 2002 tournament and failing to qualify for Euro 2004.

ECUADOR

Ecuador has been hit with an immigrant trafficking scandal off the field, but coach Luis Fernando Suarez is still expecting a team that finished third in South American qualifying behind Brazil and Argentina to handle any distractions.

"As a minimum we have to get to the second round," he said. "After that, many other goals will open up."

Midfielder Edison Mendez and defender Ivan Hurtado will be the key players on a team that has several veterans from the last World Cup.

Key Player: Striker Augustin Delgado was a flop in England for Southampton but he has scored 29 goals in 67 international appearances. He now plays at home for LDU Quito.

Outlook: Ecuador finished third in South American qualifying and turned heads by beating visiting Argentina and Brazil. The altitude may have helped. The team has only won one of its last nine games, however.

COSTA RICA

Costa Rica coach Alexandre Guimaraes will be hoping to catch his rivals off-guard with a crop of youngsters who will join nine veterans from the last tournament, when the Costa Ricans failed to advance to the second round because of goal difference.

The returning players include Paulo Wanchope and defender Ronald Gomez - goal scorers in South Korea and Japan four years ago - and Gilberto Martinez.

Key Player: Veteran Paulo Wanchope, a gangly forward who played in England for Manchester City, West Ham and Derby County, has 43 goals in 67 appearances for his country and will need to add to that total if the Ticos are to last long.

Outlook: The Ticos finished third in the final round of CONCACAF qualifying with a record of 5-4-1, with four wins at home including a 3-0 decision over the U.S. The Costa Ricans are smooth on the ball but a 4-0 warmup loss to Ukraine does not bode well.

Sweden, England headline Group B

England and Sweden both hope to have secured places in the second round of the World Cup by the time they face each other in the group stage.

The two strongest teams in Group B have to play Paraguay and Trinidad and Tobago before meeting each other and each could get six points from those games to ensure advancement to the knockout round.

Still, their match on June 20 in Cologne could be very important, because one of the two might end up playing host Germany in the second round.

ENGLAND

England had been expected to qualify easily for the second round, but an injury to striker Wayne Rooney has raised some doubts. The 20-year-old Manchester United forward broke his right foot in late April and could miss the entire World Cup.

"I will not rule him out until the doctors tell me there is no chance," England coach Sven-Goran Eriksson said. "No one wants that to happen. Everyone hopes he can take part in the World Cup at some stage."

Rooney has had an excellent season in the English Premier League and was expected to be England's catalyst to perhaps its first World Cup title since 1966 - the only time England has won the prize.

Although England also has strong players such as David Beckham, Steven Gerrard, Michael Owen, Frank Lampard, John Terry and Jamie Carragher, the absence of Rooney would weaken the team's overall confidence, and, of course, take away one of the most promising players in the game.

"The news about Wayne is depressingly sad," said former England manager Bobby Robson, who led the team to the World Cup semifinals in 1990. "You cannot replace Rooney. I don't think there's another player like him in the country or in Europe. He's a very special player, and without him our chances are dim."

His absence also should improve the chances of Paraguay and Trinidad.

Key Player: While Wayne Rooney's broken foot has dominated the leadup, fellow striker Michael Owen could be the man of the moment. He will have to lead the English attack from Day 1 at the finals. The Newcastle forward has had an injury-plagued year and will need to show off his flair for scoring - 35 goals in 75 appearances - if England are going to do some damage in Germany.

Outlook: England has a tough defence and some bona fide stars in midfield with the likes of Frank Lampard, David Beckham, Steven Gerrard and Joe Cole. It will be up to Eriksson to use them wisely. Injuries to Rooney and Owen have left a big question mark up front, however.

PARAGUAY

Paraguay made it to the World Cup for the third time in a row and reached the second round in the last two, losing to eventual champion France in 1998 and to finalist Germany in 2002.

The South Americans meet England in Frankfurt on June 10 with hopes that Bayern Munich striker Roque Santa Cruz will be fully fit. The forward returned to action in April after being sidelined for five months with torn ligaments in his right knee.

Before Rooney's injury, Paraguay coach Anibal Ruiz might have feared another one-sided loss to England, which beat Paraguay 3-0 at the 1986 World Cup and 4-0 in a friendly four years ago.

If Paraguay can hold England to a draw, then the pressure will be on the English when they face Trinidad in Nuremberg five days later - especially if the Swedes have beaten the Caribbean team in Dortmund on June 10.

Key Player: Striker Roque Santa Cruz is struggling to recover after an October knee injury. The 23-year-old Bayern Munich player could be a big boost to the South American squad, with 13 goals in 42 games.

Outlook: The Paraguayans finished fourth in South American qualifying with an 8-6-4 record that included a 1-0 win and 0-0 draw against Argentina. Some have questioned the age of some members of the squad.

TRINIDAD & TOBAGO

Trinidad's best player is Dwight Yorke, the former Aston Villa and Manchester United striker who was persuaded to come out of retirement to help the island team reach its first World Cup by beating Bahrain in a playoff.

Now Yorke plays a much deeper role in midfield and, apart from experienced players such as West Ham's Shaka Hislop, Rangers' Marvin Andrews and Falkirk's Russell Latapy, has several England-based players on the squad, most of them from lower-division clubs.

The Soca Warriors have little chance of making it to the second round. Sweden hopes it won't be their first victim.

Key Player: Dwight Yorke. At 34, Yorke's best days are behind him, but the former Manchester United striker with the beaming smile is enjoying a return to international play as a playmaker from midfield.

Outlook: Trinidad and Tobago should be happy just making the big dance - beating Bahrain in a playoff - but look for them to be extra motivated against England. Many of the T&T players are based out of England and would be over the moon if they could slow down the English machine. Still you may not want to bet the mortgage on the upset. Beenhakker probably didn't help matters when he reportedly said England always flops at major championships.

SWEDEN

Sweden consistently has been tough to beat early in the World Cup and tied both England and Argentina at the 2002 World Cup before losing to Senegal on an extra time "golden goal."

Zlatan Ibrahimovic, who plays for Italian league leader Juventus, is one of the world's top strikers and is joined in attack by FC Barcelona's Henrik Larsson, who helped the Swedes capture third place at the 1994 World Cup in the United States.

Sweden has experience throughout the team and should have enough quality to make sure it beats both Trinidad and Paraguay. And perhaps an undermanned England.

Key Player: Juventus striker Zlatan Ibrahimovic is a slippery, world-class forward with goals in his boots.

Outlook: Never count out the Swedes, who always are a force early in the World Cup. The Swedes have plenty of talent in Ibrahimovic. Henrik Larsson and Freddie Ljungberg (although he has been slowed by a foot injury). Sweden could be a difficult opponent.

Multiple contenders in Group C

If you're looking for the toughest group in the World Cup, look no further than Group C.

Most groups have one title contender. This division has two - Argentina and the Netherlands - and their final group match on June 21 in Frankfurt may be the most anticipated of the first round.

Also in the group is Serbia-Montenegro, which finished ahead of Spain in European qualifying. Then there's the Ivory Coast, making its debut in the World Cup after qualifying at the expense of Cameroon, arguably Africa's strongest team.

ARGENTINA

Two-time champion Argentina has the support of at least one expert, Lothar Matthaeus, the captain of West Germany's 1990 World Cup champions.

"I think Brazil has defensive problems to sort out, and my tip to win the World Cup is Argentina," Matthaeus said.

Argentina is talented everywhere.

If he recovers quickly from a right thigh injury, FC Barcelona's 18-year-old midfielder Lionel Messi - often compared to Diego Maradona - should be a star. He will line up with other attacking talents such as Hernan Crespo, Carlos Tevez, Javier Saviola and Juan Roman Riquelme.

Argentina's defence has been hurt by injuries, but if healthy is led by Juan Pablo Sorin, Roberto Ayala, Walter Samuel, Javier Zanetti and Gabriel Heinze.

"We have a few problems, but we'll overcome them," Ayala said. "I think we're going to play very well."

The South Americans have something to prove. They were ignominiously ousted from the group stage in the 2002 World Cup and took a painful 4-1 loss against Brazil in last year's Confederations Cup final.

Argentina coach Jose Pekerman is also under pressure to pick 17-year-old Sergio "Kun" Aguero, a compact, low-slung forward being compared to Romario, the star of Brazil's 1994 World Cup winning team.

Messi wants Aguero on the team. The two played together last year when Argentina won the World Youth Championship.

"Sergio is a great player," Messi said. "He's powerful, he can shake off opponents, he's quick, strong, scores goals and is a team player. With him alongside me I feel ready for anything."

Key Player: Teenage striker Lionel Messi has been a revelation in world youth tournaments, and now he might be a catalyst at the highest level.

Outlook: Few teams face more pressure than Argentina after the 2002 debacle. Messi could be a sensation, but he'll need help from the more-seasoned Hernan Crespo, Juan Roman Riquelme and Juan Pablo Sorin. Another first-round exit would be devastating for this country.

NETHERLANDS

The Dutch team is always an enigma, saddled with the tag of the best nation never to win the World Cup.

The Dutch have dazzling technical ability and self-confidence, but usually fail to play well as a team. Netherlands coach Marco van Basten seems to have changed that impression since taking over for Dick Advocaat following the 2004 European Championship.

They were unbeaten in European qualifying - 10 wins and two draws - and twice beat the No. 2-ranked Czech Republic.

Manchester United's Edwin van der Sar is the uncontested starting goalkeeper. The anchor at midfield is Phillip Cocu, and the target man up front is Ruud van Nistelrooy. He's been benched on and off this season in England for Manchester United, and will be eager to prove himself.

Van Basten has worked hard to create team spirit, and has left veteran midfielder Clarence Seedorf off the team. Instead, he's going with young players Dirk Kuyt and Hedwiges Maduro.

"If you start out with a tough group, you immediately know what you are worth," Van Basten said. "We know it isn't going to be an easy job."

Key Player: Edwin van der Saar needs to be steady to balance what could be a formidable attack.

Outlook: When the Dutch make the tournament - they were absent in 2002 - they are a threat. The Netherlands should score even without Klaas-Jan Huntelaar, the Dutch league's top scorer who wasn't chosen for the squad.

SERBIA & MONTENEGRO

Serbia-Montenegro could be a spoiler, and coach Ilija Petkovic does not lack confidence. The country qualified seven times for the World Cup as Yugoslavia, and this will be the first as Serbia-Montenegro.

"If we play the way we did in qualification, we can stay unbeaten against the Netherlands and Argentina," Petkovic said. "I know that we would have to play our best, but the favourites sometimes freeze in their opening games at the World Cups, and that is our chance. We are capable of upsetting any team in the world."

Relying on defence, the club had seven shutouts in qualifying and pushed Spain to second in the group. The defence will be led by Nemanja Vidic, with the attack focused on Mateja Kezman.

Also up front is six-foot-eight Nikola Zigic of Red Star Belgrade.

"We are known for our attacking style of play, but if we get the results with a strong defence," Petkovic said, "I won't change anything."

Key Player: Defender Mladen Krstajic is the anchor of the stingy defence that will be tested often in this division.

Outlook: After beating out Spain in its qualifying group and allowing only one goal, the Serbs showed they can play defence. They'll need to find some offence to survive this difficult group, and striker Mateja Kezman, who had five qualifying goals, must produce.

IVORY COAST

No one holds much hope for Ivory Coast, although the west Africans are looking to surprise opponents like Senegal did in 2002, reaching the quarter-finals.

Ivory Coast brings a handful of high-profile players to its first World Cup, led by two who play in the English Premier League: Chelsea striker Didier Drogba and Arsenal defender Kolo Toure.

The other key scorer is Aruna Dindane, who plays for French club Lens.

Key Player: Didier Drogba, who played a prominent role for English Premier League champion Chelsea and is among the world's top forwards.

Outlook: Probably the best team from Africa this year, but that could mean little with the powerful Dutch and Argentines in the group. Still, this is one of the most promising outsiders in the field, and Drogba must be watched every minute by opposing defences.

Group D: Trouble Lurking

Hooligans always are a threat at the World Cup. Group D could provide trouble at this year's tournament, though the problems are not expected to come from the usual thugs and bullies.

Instead, the weakest group at the tournament in Germany could create the most trouble when Portugal faces former colony Angola, and Iran faces just about anyone.

Mexico is the seeded team in the group.

PORTUGAL

Portugal, unbeaten in its World Cup qualifying campaign, will be more worried about redeeming itself.

At the World Cup four years ago, Portugal lost to South Korea and the United States and was eliminated in the first round. The Portuguese rebounded two years later by reaching the final at the European Championship, and has another strong squad heading to Germany.

Not to mention a Brazilian coach, Luiz Felipe Scolari, who is trying to win the World Cup with his second team.

"I have a shot at that. Let's see how things go and whether I deserve it," said Scolari, who led Brazil to its fifth title in South Korea and Japan.

Still, Scolari is wary of being overly optimistic.

"There will be more hurdles and difficulties (in Germany) than at Euro 2004. We have to keep our feet firmly on the ground, especially the players," Scolari said.

Luis Figo, the team's top player, said Portugal always has had problems when in an "apparently easy group." But he seems ready to make amends.

"Smart people don't make the same mistake twice," the Inter Milan midfielder said.

Besides Figo, Portugal also can rely on Manchester United winger Cristiano Ronaldo, FC Barcelona's Brazilian-born midfielder Deco, dangerous scorer Pauleta of Paris Saint-Germain and a backline that boasts Chelsea defenders Ricardo Carvalho and Paulo Ferreira.

But when African teams meet their former colonial powers, strange things can happen. Just ask France. At the last World Cup, Senegal upset the defending champions in the opening match.

Key Player: Manchester United winger Cristiano Ronaldo, who was the main force during qualifying and provides some fresh blood to a withering team.

Outlook: Scolari led Brazil to the title in 2002 and now has gone from the premier program in the world to this group of underachievers. He has a bevy of veterans who have not performed well in the World Cup, but if he can't get them to produce in a group they could win, who can?

ANGOLA

Angola coach Luis Oliveira Goncalves and the rest of the country will be hoping for a repeat.

"We have a saying in Angola that goes, 'Hope is the last thing to die.' But we know our limits," Goncalves said. "We don't have good training conditions and we don't have many players in big European teams."

Fabrice Akwa and Benfica striker Pedro Mantorras are the team's stars. Akwa scored the goal against Rwanda that helped Angola qualify for the World Cup for the first time.

Angola gained its independence from Portugal in 1975, and has played its former colonial power only twice, losing 6-0 in 1989 and 5-1 in 2001.

At the last match in Lisbon, four Angolan players were sent off for brutal tackles and dissent, and the game was abandoned with 20 minutes to play.

Key Player: Forward Fabrice Akwa scored the goal that catapulted Angola into the tournament, and he's the main threat.

Outlook: The opener against Portugal could be a grudge match, and the Portuguese have been known to stumble early. Still, Angola will be hard-pressed to get anywhere in this division.

MEXICO

Mexico, which reached the second round in 2002 but lost to the United States, looks to have its best team in decades. But the pressure to reach the quarter-finals could be troublesome for coach Ricardo Lavolpe.

"We are trying to reach new goals. We have been working hard and the objective is to rank among the top four in the World Cup," Lavolpe said.

Mexico twice has reached the quarter-finals, at home in 1970 and 1986.

Lavolpe has no shortage of reasons to be optimistic, however. Goalkeeper Oswaldo Sanchez of Chivas is one of the best in the world, and the defence is led by Barcelona winger Rafael Marquez.

The team also has two star strikers - Jared Borgetti of Bolton and Guillermo Franco, an Argentine who was naturalized a Mexican and plays for Villarreal.

"Expectations are very high and this makes things complicated," Marquez said. "I think we will have to work very hard to deal with that mentally ... sometimes we are our own worst enemy."

Key Player: Jared Borgetti, a striker for Bolton in the English Premier League, scores most of his nation's big goals. He had 14 in qualifying.

Outlook: Borgetti has to carry the attack along with Guillermo Franco for a team that rarely finds the big goal in the World Cup. Rafael Marquez of Barcelona is one of the world's best defenders. The Mexicans should make the second round without a lot of trouble.

IRAN

Iran is making its third World Cup appearance. With Tehran's nuclear ambitions and its president's verbal attacks on Israel, the off-field issues have led to calls for Iran to be banned from playing.

Iran coach Branko Ivankovic is concerned only about soccer.

"We want to surprise the world, because now we are capable of beating anyone and we are not going to Germany as tourists," Ivankovic said.

Iran has drawn once and lost four times in its two previous World Cups, with its only win coming against political nemesis the United States in 1998.

Now the team is anchored by veterans such as striker Ali Daei and Bayern Munich playmaker Ali Karimi.

European-based players such as forward Mehdi Mahdavikia of Hamburger SV, Vahid Hashemian of Hannover 96, Kaiserslautern midfielder Fereydoon Zandi, Bochum's Moharram Navidkia and Messina defender Rahman Rezaei are also expected to shine.

"We have a great mix of experienced internationals and enthusiastic young players," Ivankovic said.

Key Player: Ali Daei, whose experience at this level will be called on often.

Outlook: Iran finally has some players who have had steady work at bigtime clubs, making this team unlikely to get intimidated. Still, the Iranians aren't on the level of Mexico or Portugal, so advancing would be a major upset.

Group E: Three will battle for two spots

Italy is the only seeded team at the World Cup that will play two higher-ranked opponents in the first round.

It seems a strange happenstance, but when the FIFA rankings are involved, things sometimes get confusing.

Italy, which is ranked 13th by soccer's world governing body but was rated as one of the top eight teams for the tournament in Germany, will play the second-ranked Czech Republic and No. 5 United States in Group E. The other team in the group is World Cup first timer Ghana.

The only other seeded team that will face a higher-ranked team in the first round is Argentina. The two-time World Cup champions are ninth in FIFA's list, but face the third-ranked Netherlands in Group C.

ITALY

The Italians, who won two of the first three World Cups and then added another title in 1982, first play 48th-ranked Ghana, which is also in the group.

"At the moment I am only thinking about the match against Ghana, because the first game is always the most important," Italy coach Marcello Lippi said. "The outcome of that match, whether we win, lose or draw, will decide how we will approach the second game. And the second game decides the approach for the third, and so on."

Italy's roster will include playmaker Francesco Totti, who recently returned from an 81-day injury layoff, Filippo Inzaghi and Vincenzo Iaquinta.

Gianluigi Buffon, who has been engulfed in gambling allegations, is expected to be the team's starting goalkeeper.

"He's a great person," Totti said of Buffon. "I don't believe he did anything, but even if did make an error, I would stand by him."

Since winning its last major title at the 1982 World Cup in Spain, Italy has been eliminated from soccer's top competition on penalties three times. At the last World Cup, South Korea's Ahn Jung-hwan scored a golden goal to send Italy home after the second round.

"You can't say Italian soccer was of poor quality during these 25 years," Lippi said. "It's not like we haven't done anything. It shouldn't be a burden."

The bigger burden may be finishing in a position where it will avoid five-time champion Brazil in the second round.

Key Player: Playmaker Francesco Totti, who recently returned to AS Roma after he broke his left leg and strained ankle ligaments on Feb. 19.

Outlook: The Italians could be distracted by a league scandal back home, and their recent performances on the big soccer stages have been disappointing. They need more originality than any Italian team has shown in a long while, and less conservative coaching.

CZECH REPUBLIC

The Czech Republic will face Italy in its final group match, and the loser could be the team that plays the defending champions, assuming Brazil wins Group F ahead of Croatia, Australia and Japan.

Czech Republic coach Karel Bruckner isn't taking the United States or Ghana for granted, however.

"Football has developed so much as a game, so weaker opponents are very often able to beat the team with a stronger reputation," Bruckner said. "For example, if they have a disciplined approach to the game, a few good players can make a big difference."

The Czechs, who reached the World Cup final twice as Czechoslovakia, will be led by Jan Koller, the recently injured forward who is the team's all-time leading scorer with 40 goals from 66 games.

Pavel Nedved, who came out of international retirement to help the team qualify in the playoffs, will also play a key role in the team's chances.

Key Player: Jan Koller, the six-foot-eight striker returning from a left knee injury, has been called the Czechs' indispensable player.

Outlook: Although they are ranked second in the world, the Czechs could be vulnerable in a very tough group. They need decisive offensive moves from Koller, Pavel Nedved and Milan Baros. The opener with the Americans is a crucial game for both sides.

UNITED STATES

The Americans reached the quarter-finals four years ago, and 11 players from that squad are still with the team, including Landon Donovan, DaMarcus Beasley, Kasey Keller, Claudio Reyna, Brian McBride and Eddie Pope.

Donovan, who scored two goals at the last World Cup in South Korea and Japan, isn't worried about possibly facing Brazil if the Americans advance.

"Would I bet that nine times out of 10 we're going to beat Brazil? Probably not," Donovan said. "Could we beat Brazil? Absolutely. So you have to be a little bit realistic, but we want to put ourselves in that situation. And if we're in that situation, I would still be confident."

The United States faced Brazil in the second round at home in 1994, but lost 1-0. Brazil went on to win its fourth title at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena, California.

Key Player: Oguchi Onyewu. The defender for Standard Liege in Belgium must close down the middle with his power and intelligence.

Outlook: Ranked No. 5 in the world, the Americans aren't the fifth-best team on Earth. They rarely do well in Europe, but this is their best World Cup team in decades. A win or tie in opener against Czech Republic is a must for advancement. A first-round exit would be a flop, but the competition is formidable.

GHANA

If the Americans hope to advance again, they are likely going to need Ghana to spring an upset on the Italians or the Czechs.

The four-time African Cup of Nations champions are one of four teams from the continent making their debut at the World Cup and, like everyone else, they want to win.

"There is a lot of determination from the boys and the technical team to see this dream realized," Ghana team spokesman Randy Abbey said.

Ghana, which conceded only four goals in 12 qualifying matches, is expected to depend heavily on Chelsea midfielder Michael Essien and captain Stephen Appiah.

Key Player: Chelsea defender Michael Essien will need to organize a defence that constantly might be under siege.

Outlook: A history of doing well on its continent never helped Ghana get this far. Ranked 48th in the world, the best hope is for the other three group teams to be overconfident against the Black Stars.

Group F: Brazil's to lose

Most people see Brazil as a certainty to win its group at the World Cup. And so do its opponents.

The defending champions are a firm favourite to win a record sixth title in Germany and, with their attacking style and loaded roster, shouldn't have too many problems winning Group F ahead of Croatia, Japan and Australia.

Japan coach Zico played at three World Cups for Brazil and his experience could prove crucial. However, he isn't even thinking of emulating Japan's performance last time, when it topped its group at home.

"Brazil stands out head and shoulders above the rest," Zico said. "With most of their players now plying their trade in Europe, they'll have the strongest squad in the group. So Australia, Croatia and Japan will each have a one-in-three chance of taking the other qualifying slot."

JAPAN

Japan is the highest-ranked team in the group after No. 1 Brazil, but the Asian champions are only rated 18th by FIFA - even though it was the first team to join host Germany in qualifying for the tournament.

Each team knows it would be one of the World Cup's biggest shocks if it beat Brazil. So the competition is trying to identify where it's going to pick up the crucial points that would send it through to the second round.

Japan opens against Australia on June 12 and plays Croatia on June 18, when Brazil plays Australia. Brazil opens against Croatia on June 13, and plays Japan in the last round of group games on June 22.

"If we play to our potential, we should have as good a chance of any of the others of going through," Zico said. "The first game against Australia is crucial to our chances."

While Japan doesn't have anyone with the ability of Brazil's world player of the year Ronaldinho, Real Madrid striker Ronaldo, AC Milan playmaker Kaka or Inter Milan forward Adriano, it has players with experience in Europe's top leagues.

Bolton's Hidetoshi Nakata and former Feyenoord player Shinji Ono return after helping Japan reach the second round in 2002. They will be alongside midfielder Shunsuke Nakamura, whose six goals and numerous assists this season helped Celtic cruise to the Scottish Premier League title.

But Japan will have tough competition.

Key Player: Veteran Koji Nakata anchors a defense that often will be besieged. He needs to keep his teammates calm and focused.

Outlook: South Korea's sensational 2002 tournament obscured Japan's advancement to the second round. The Japanese won't likely come close to making it out of this group. An opening win over Australia is a must.

AUSTRALIA

While Australia has little tournament pedigree, its coach does.

The Socceroos are coached by Guus Hiddink, who led the Netherlands to the semifinals at the World Cup in 1998 and repeated the feat with South Korea four years later.

"He likes the Australian attitude," Australia striker John Aloisi said.

Aloisi, who scored the winning penalty kick goal in a shootout to give Australia victory over Uruguay and its first World Cup appearance in 32 years, is another trying to figure out where his team can pick up points.

"The most important game will probably be the first against Japan," Aloisi said. "Croatia are good, but not as good as in 1998 and definitely beatable. We should know all about them because we've got players with a Croatian background."

Striker Mark Viduka, midfielder Josip Skoko and defender Tony Popovic fall into that category and all are with English clubs, making them familiar with the conditions and opposition they are likely to face in Germany.

Key Player: Harry Kewell can be a special player when healthy, and Australia will need his creativity and fire in this group.

Outlook: Hiddink's brilliant coaching schemes helped South Korea to fourth place in 2002. He won't have the home advantage that nation had, and the three other first-round opponents are better than Australia. His standouts all play in England: Kewell, Mark Viduka, captain Mark Schwarzer and Tim Cahill.

CROATIA

Croatia reached the semifinals in 1998 in its tournament debut, and is eager to make up for its 2002 exit, when it slumped out in the first round.

Sticking with the players who kept Croatia unbeaten through qualifying and took it to first place in its group, coach Zlatko Kranjcar is confident with his midfielder son Niko Kranjcar and striker Dado Prso, who he feels can qualify his team for the second round.

"I can feel a great team spirit in the squad and I think we're well capable of doing it," Kranjcar said.

Key Player: Niko Kranjcar, who brings some imagination to a team that lacked it at the last World Cup.

Outlook: An unpredictable team that was great in '98, mediocre in '02, Croatia has more offensive flair under Kranjcar, whose son is the playmaker. But it's still a defensive team, led by Robert Kovac, Igor Tudor, Dario Simic and Joe Simunic.

BRAZIL

Brazil is the one team in the group thinking far beyond the first stage, of course. Coach Carlos Alberto Parreira is targeting a rematch of the 2002 final, when Brazil beat Germany 2-0. The earliest that could happen is the semifinals.

"It would be excellent ... if they had the chance of a rematch," Parreira said. "We would win again to show that we are the best."

However, there's at least one Brazilian warning against such confidence.

"Football is an unpredictable game, and no one can forsee how things will turn out," Zico said. "The gap between traditional footballing powers and newly emerging nations is narrowing."

Key Player: Ronaldinho. Or Ronaldo. Or Kaka. Or Cafu. Or Roberto Carlos. Or even the last guy on the bench.

Outlook: Brazil's second team might be favoured to win the tournament. This squad is deep everywhere, particularly on offence and player of the year Ronaldinho has few equals in shiftiness and creativity. Ronaldo came through four years ago and is looking to prove he has re-emerged as a difference maker.

Monday, June 05, 2006

Calligraphy




Random text copying, written by me last year...It is extremely infrequent for people nowadays to grab a pen and write down something lengthy on paper in the increasingly ubiquitous paperless environment of studying and working, which means that we are also increasingly inclined to lose our patience and sense to appreciate the beauty in old-fashioned handwriting, especially in the profound Chinese calligraphy...@_@

Sunday, June 04, 2006

17 Years Have Passed

前一段时间纽约时报的很多报告扯到毛泽东,才知道是文革四十周年,如今又来一个六月四号。一提起六四,就不免又让人想到中国的那个六四。去年此时我下了个长达三四个小时的纪录片“六四启示录”,看到了很多珍贵的镜头,知道了很多以前不知道也无法理解的东西,现在仍记忆犹新。今年此时若不是身在国外,很有可能又淡忘了这个至今仍为国人讳莫如深的日子,国内的网络媒体封锁和“注意力转移”,大家都是知道的。听说“日子一到”,连什么“无界”、“自由门”、“花园”破网三剑客都在国内全面瘫痪,但毕竟道高一尺魔高一丈,总有人能找到技术突破的方法贴在网上。Internet发展至今,Accessibility始终是最基本的通信要求,自由的网络世界想要全面封锁最终结果肯定是空费人力物力,拿着国库里的老百姓的大笔金钱做最愚蠢和肮脏的事情,除非他就能够牺牲最基本的通讯手段email,instant messaging等,或者是在国内自建internet infrastucture,彻底断绝境外网络连接,而这些都是荒唐的倒退,而且是自断技术和经济发展命脉,是100%不可能的。

我的观点其实很简单,现在看来也很明确:

以互联网为首的全球电子技术和信息革命以恒有效的指数化曲线极大节约了传统商业的运作成本和消费群体的消费习惯和行为方式,在六四后“改革开放”这一大的环境下极大地带动了中国经济自89以来的腾飞,庞大的市场潜力也吸引了国外无数明知风险奇高却又唯利是图的商人和投资人的眼球。但为什么中国的经济这么多年了始终给人的感觉是浮夸的百分之多少的GDP增长率,带给深资的国内外经济分析家却是一个危如累卵,病入膏肓,朝夕不保的分析结果呢?有人凭借中国金融系统严重超出坏账率警戒线,内消持续疲软和极度依赖国际贸易和国际收支,完全不合经经济学原理的经济发展晴雨表的股市的骤跌骤彪,农民不堪重负的苛捐杂税,生态环境严重恶化国家所支付的巨额清理安置费,以及世界首屈一指的基尼系数和无法治愈的大面积失业,预计2008年奥运会之前中国经济就将崩溃,接下来可能又是一个暴风骤雨式的政治革命或者什么其他的根本社会变革。我不敢说这是危言耸听,因为谁要说中国不存在这些显而易见的问题,谁还真是蒙在鼓里。那又为什么这些问题根本无法解决,那么多留学生出国“回家建设祖国”却又心有意而力不足,不能很快的和发达国家接轨呢?是技术落后?说什么电脑网络本身就是老鬼发明的,就是长在拉丁字母上的,汉字的方块字一上来就是个蹩脚马;或又是经济改革还不够深入?说什么中国特色社会主义的市场经济仍然起步不久,在如今的发展速度上,从发展中国家步入发达国家仍需时日;或还是文化差异的因素?说什么中国人的历史这么悠久了,很难在短时间内接受目前西方国家的那种人性自由和经济自由的社会发展模式,也就注定了在努力向国际靠拢的过程中必然出现无数“中国特色”的毛病,需要当今政府来大力干涉和解决,等等等等。。。然而这么多人说了这么多,散了后搞技术的也许就继续去钻研计算机语言和网络发展概念,搞经济的也许就继续研究各门各派经济泰山北斗的学术理论和分析工具,搞管理的也许就继续阅读华尔街时报和商业周刊,多少年后各路精英再聚首讨论一下中国的这些情况,也许这些问题会继续存在,一种大伙儿实际上白忙活了十几年的感慨也许就自然而生了。

所以说中国发展的根本症结不在各行各业相对于国外的落后,需要无数人出国来学习各门知识和经验,这些虽然是硬指标,但纯知识技术型的海归派是改变不了中国的这种局面的,叫做救国乏力。中国发展的根本阻力在于没有民主法制的健全政治制度渗透到社会的每一个毛细血管来规定和保障个人和法人的基本权利和合法利益,来保障各行各业在一个理想健康的环境中正常协调和运行,如果有这种强有力的保证,很多现存的问题就会不问自解,不复存在了。一种更理想的状态就是这些符合社会发展的合理政策制度久后会融汇到一个民族根生蒂固的道德文化中去,深入到一个不需多讲,人人自律,人人互助的人文环境的底层意识中来抵制可能造成社会紊乱的人性中的各种欲望——打个比方就像如今谁都知道不能在公共场合抽烟,多少年前没有规定人们也就没有这种意识约束也就能够随心所欲一样——然后随着社会的更进一步发展,再去吸纳一些新的因素和进一步自我完善。现在的中国想要转变,不是没有有这种能力去做这些事情的人存在,只是万事开头难,在当今中国简直就是难于上青天,这个天大的转变想要实现,现存腐败的中共政权是打死了也不会放权,丝毫不允许半点异见的,谁都没胆去做,甚至说都不敢说,想都不敢想罢了。

有差距才有理想,差距越悬殊,理想越远大。这些对国家零星的理想不是现在人才有或仍然有,89年民运其实就是一次怀着救民救国理想的学生和这个政党的一次大碰撞,一个理想屈服于武装现实的“苦涩的果子”,一次不彻底、自发的没有理论指导、也有点失去理性的“反革命”,满地的鲜血也让很多人看清了一些现象的本质,现在的很多人不问政治,只顾赚钱,炒股,炒楼,也都是从那时开始的。所谓一美不能遮百丑,何况中国的橱窗式经济发展这一“美”还是千疮百孔,岌岌可危。。。十七年来,中国的根本问题还是没有变,依然存在,而且有愈演愈烈的趋势。中国唐宗宋祖的时代似乎永远一去不复返,那时的中国受世人仰慕不是能在中国的土地上投机发财,赚了就溜,而是中华民族文化的输出令无数人折服和同化,中国社会的精神文化的繁荣才是吸引无数海外游者来中国这个“天堂”一游的最主要的原因。真是回顾历史,不免徒增汗颜,嗟叹唏嘘啊。

特殊的日子都有特殊的纪念,在Blogsphere里,转贴剖析的文章也许是个最好的方式:


“六四”十七年的反思和变迁

(自由亚洲电台记者申华采访报导)一九八九年春天,北京街头数万名大学生游行的火热场面,天安门广场上绝食学生失望和愤怒的眼神,六月四号凌晨木樨地、长安街上紧密的枪声……这一幕幕震惊世界的情景转眼间已经过去了十七年。

这十七年间,中国发生了惊人的变化,那场运动的参与者们也已各奔东西。不过他们都不约而同地在不断地回忆、思考着那场运动。那么他们思考的结论是什么?“六四”的枪声是如何影响着他们的追求和中国社会的变迁?下面是记者申华采写、制作的纪念“六四”十七周年的特别节目《十七年的反思和变迁》。

1989年5月,北京大学的学生在天安门广场举行绝食宣誓;国际歌; 枪声;喊救护车;救护车声。

4月15号中共前总书记胡耀邦去世而引发的以“打击腐败”,“争取民主”为主要诉求的一九八九年民主运动在6月4号这天遭到中共政权的镇压。“人民子弟兵”们手持机关枪,对着手无寸铁的学生和市民扫射……全世界为之震惊!直到如今,中共政权仍不曾公布在那次事件中死难者的确切人数。外界估计在数百到数千人之间。

“六四”事件之后,中共政权受到了国际社会的强烈谴责,很多国家对中国实施经济制裁,中共政权在国际上陷入空前的孤立。在国内,中共政权也面临着巨大的挑战。

《中国青年报》前资深编辑,1989年5月上千名新闻工作者要求新闻自由的公开信的组织者和起草人李大同说---

李大同:六四主要的功能就是让大家绝望。原来对这个党还有些信心。但是,对人民开枪就导致了信心的崩溃。

“六四”绝食四君子之一,被中共政权称为“幕后黑手”的刘晓波说--

刘晓波:“六四这一枪就把共产党这合法性呢,打的差不多了。”

尽管“六四”的枪声使得人们对共产党的信心崩溃,共产党执政的合法性丧失殆尽,但是共产党政权并没有发生动摇。在“六四”发生后的几年内,中共政权想要采取了一系列措施稳定局势,想重新获取人心。

刘晓波说,1992年,当时中共最高领导人邓小平南巡,掀起第二次经济改革的浪潮。另外,刘晓波认为,中共政权还采取措施压制党内的不同政见。

刘晓波:“因为它觉得“六四”的兴起主要是来自党内开明派在某种程度上他们想搞政治改革,那么呢,他们就对以赵紫阳为代表的党内开明派进行了清洗,同时它又杜绝党内出现任何关于推进政治民主改革的声音。”

“六四”后知识份子的变化

刘晓波还表示,中共政权深知,富有理想主义色彩的知识份子是八九民运的启蒙者和动员者,因此,“六四”之后,中共逐步向几个知识份子集中的中心城市投入大量资源,使得知识份子在经济上获得实惠,收买他们的人心。这一策略的后果就是“犬儒主义”的盛行。中国研究思想史的学者丁东如此解释“犬儒主义”。

丁东:“现在知识界有相当一批人是属于脑子里并不是不明白是非,但是在具体行为上呢,他是只计厉害,不问是非。”

“只计厉害,不问是非”的犬儒主义的代表就是最近几年兴起的“新左派”、民族主义和国学。在美国《当代中国研究》杂志主编程晓农看来,与1980年代充满理想、具有批判精神并热心关注国家前途的知识精英相比,受这些社会思潮影响的知识份子一个很大的不同就是他们背后都是为了迎合执政者的趣味,为了谋得一己私利。

程晓农说,犬儒主义盛行的原因除了政府软的收买外,还因为政府用硬的一手对付自由知识份子:

程晓农:“……已经开始在学生当中全面发展特务系统。这个系统现在在国内叫信息员。然后这些信息员就以学生的身份在教室里监控老师。在这种压力下很多教师也是没有办法再在教室里讲自己的见解。”

因此,程晓农说,现在体制内知识份子的言路越来越窄。但不可否认的是,在体制外,在民间社会,仍然存在着一批执著的自由知识份子。刘晓波就是其中一位代表性人物。他因为六四蹲过监狱,出狱后,仍然坚持不懈批评中共政权,针砭时弊,他因而受到警方长期监控,甚至骚扰。

“六四”后媒体的变迁

中国的新闻媒体在“六四”之后,也发生了巨大的变化。1989年4、5月间,在一批坚信新闻自由的新闻工作者的争取下,中国的媒体经历过一段中共执政后最自由的时间,大量真实报导如火如荼的学生运动。

但是,“六四”之后的几年,按照《中国青年报》李大同的话说,“报纸、电视新闻简直不能看!充斥党的宣传。”不过,1992年之后,媒体业也开始引进市场机制,增强可读性,并出现了以南方报系为代表的新的报导模式,关心社会问题和民间疾苦。这一演变的后果就是传统主流媒体的边缘化。

李大同: “两千年有一句非常形象的概括,这就叫做主流媒体边缘化,边缘媒体主流化。无论是从发行量,从舆论的影响力,还是都市媒体的广告金额和利润,都远远超过了传统的主流大报。”

李大同主编的《中国青年报》的《冰点》周刊是传统主流媒体的一个亮点,时常刊登有深度的揭露性报导。但是,最近几年,尤其是胡锦涛担任中共最高领导人以来,媒体的言论空间已经紧缩,李大同也被撤职。

李大同:“六四”事件对新闻界的影响李大同是深有感触:“在绝望的这种氛围下,开始了普遍的这种功利化。像《新华社》记者都可以去拿别人的金元宝就把揭露性报导不报了。像这样的事情都是不可思议的。”

社会道德危机,贫富分化

其实,“六四”后知识份子的犬儒化以及新闻界的功利化只是中国整个社会在信仰危机之后出现的道德危机的一部分。北京退休医生尹敏对现在社会的堕落深恶痛绝:“人们的生活有所改善,但是,社会的弊病、贪官污吏、权钱交易、没有法制,比较突出。现在都什么年代了,还要提倡八荣八耻,就可想这个社会的道德水准低下到什么程度。”

现在旅居加拿大的“不寐论坛”网站的主持人任不寐告诉记者说,“六四”后中国人信仰的崩溃,道德的沦丧,导致了宗教在全国的复兴。据一些研究宗教的学者估计,1990年代初,中国的基督教和天主教信徒只有数百万,但是近几年这个数字已达到五千万,甚至有的说达到上亿人。其中大部分都是不属于官方教会的家庭教会的成员。

另外,任不寐还表示,“六四”后十七年来中国社会另一个巨大的变化就是贫富差距的加大已经到了国际公认的危险水平:

任不寐:“经济上的畸形发展导致了贫富分化,腐败比1989年更为严重。由于贫富(分化)已经超过了国际警戒线,因此现在的中国社会已经抵达了一场革命的边缘。”

“天安门母亲”不懈地坚持

其实,八九民运时,学生们的政治诉求就是惩治腐败,进行政治改革。尹敏不无惋惜地说,如果当时政府采纳这些意见,不镇压学生,现在的中国也就不会有这么多的社会问题。尹敏的儿子叶伟航“六四”那天被“子弟兵”的枪弹打死,当时只有十九岁。

歌曲:《历史的伤口》

这是1989年5月,台湾的音乐界人士为支持大陆的民主运动而专门创作的歌曲《历史的伤口》。十七年了,一个年轻的生命被政府的军队打死,没有任何说法,尹敏心上的伤口时时作痛。她和一些同样在“六四”事件中失去亲人的难属们组成了“天安门母亲”群体,十多年以来,用理性、温和的方式,呼吁中共政权平反“六四”,给难属们以赔偿。

今年早些时候,“六四”期间被警察抓去并被打死在派出所的四川少年周国聪的母亲唐德英获得政府七万元的困难补助,政府的条件是唐德英不再向政府就此事提出诉讼。这是“六四”死难者在全国第一次获得政府的补助。

“天安门母亲”的发言人尹敏说,在“六四”十七周年的前夕他们发表的公开信中,多年来第一次改变了向中共政权讨回公道的策略:

“根据这件事情呢,我们也考虑,因为这些难属当中困难的很多,而且老弱病残的也很多。所以我们也想假如中共真能够给一些难属解决一些实际问题,我们还是欢迎,但是不应该附加任何条件。”

“天安门母亲”群体已经确定的“六四”死难者人数是186位,伤残者有70多位。他们说,这个数字只是整个事件中的极少一部分。

齐志勇就是其中的一位伤残者。他于“六四”这天遭到解放军冲锋枪扫射,左腿高位截肢。多年来,因为不能工作,每个月只有三百多块钱的补助,生活异常艰辛。从今年二月份起,因为声援维权律师高智晟发起的绝食运动,他一直遭到警方软禁。不过他要讨回公道的决心非常坚定:

齐志勇:“我们之所以持之以恒,十七年来一直在寻找那些失踪的人,受伤的和死去的人,正是我们要讨回这个公道,不光是为了个人,也是为了整个民族。”

虽然遭到政府不公正对待,但是齐志勇说,来自民间,甚至是素不相识的人的关怀令他深为感动。他说,一位唐山的老共产党员每逢“六四”纪念日都要打电话给他,向他表示慰问。另外,齐志勇透露说,一位当时戒严部队的士兵,已经连续三年一到“六四”纪念日来临,都要给他打电话,向他表示忏悔。

齐志勇:“他现在是团级还是副师级干部了。他每当‘六四’他都跪地祷告。他每次都痛哭,他说首先向死去的亡灵默哀,行真正的人民的军礼,然后再向我表示忏悔。”

八九民运参与者的反思和向维权运动的转变

具忏悔之心的还不仅仅是这位曾经被迫拿起枪对准人民的士兵,还有当时的民主运动的参与者。吾尔开希曾是八九民运的学生领袖之一。

最近,当时在天安门广场向毛泽东画像投洒颜料的“湖南三勇士”之一鲁德成来到加拿大之后,吾尔开希和另一些当时的学生领袖集体向鲁德成公开道歉,因为三勇士当时是被学生押送到公安局并被判处长期徒刑。

吾尔开希说到道歉的初衷:“具体的责任也许不在我们身上,但毕竟我们作为学生的一份子,他们被学生扭送到公安局,而且使他们损失那么多年的青春和自由,从道义上我们当然负有不可推卸的责任。”

现在旅居加拿大的任不寐当时是“高等院校自治联合会”的常委之一。他现在已经开始在神学院的学习,今后要做一名牧师。他说,中共政权之所以对学生运动如此仇恨,不惜开枪,是因为他们没有宗教信仰,太看重权力和利益。另外他对民主人士自身的缺陷也做了反省---

任不寐:“当我们这些人从旧世界出来的时候,如果不改变我们身上的缺陷,那些专制主义的毒素,自由和民主的时代不会到来的。当然我这样说不是为专制主义辩护,我是说,怎样改正我们自身的一些缺陷,从理性的角度来看我们就可以去更好的创建一个宪政的国家。”

现在已经有很多八九民运的参与者都不同程度地有所反省。但是,吾尔开希表示,他们的反省已经足够了:“我们的反省已经足够了。现在强调学生要反省的声音甚至到了要淹没事实的程度了,已经到了要扭曲现实的程度了。真正应该反省的是中国共产党,他们没有任何的反省。”

从1989年直到现在一直都在中国坚持从事民主运动和维权运动的赵昕的观点似乎和吾尔开希不同。他对八九民运失败的原因进行了长期的思考并付诸行动。他当时是“外地高等院校自治联合会”的负责人之一。他因“六四”在监狱中呆了11个月。出来后,就积极开始组织成立反对党。

1998年,他参与成立了中国民主党,公开冲击党禁。但是这些努力在中共政权的镇压下都告失败。在潜心思索后,他得出结论,在建立宪政民主制度之前,还要作很多的工作。他说,这包括改变人们的精神信仰文化,建立公民社会,完善平等市场经济。

赵昕:“我们从当初要想一下子建立一个制度,从后来秘密组党,冲击党禁,最后到现在我已经转为,我是中国非暴力公民权利运动(也就是维权运动)的创立者和践行者。我们就觉得要从公民的权利做起,从建设公民社会的角度做起,逐渐的达致中国宪政民主转型。”

赵昕的观点和封从德的观点不谋而合。封从德也是八九民运的学生领袖之一。当被问到为什么“六四”事件之后,中共政权还能存在至今,他打了一个比喻:

封从德:“中国是一架被劫持的飞机,中国民众就是乘客。只有共产党控制了所有的政治空间,只有它能驾驶这架飞机。所以在大家没有找到取代的驾驶员的时候,就没有办法。所以这是一个劫机的状态。”

封从德说,最近几年开始在中国风起云涌的维权运动就是要在民间培养新的驾驶员。在刘晓波看来,“六四”遗产的一个积极方面就是,民间权利意识的觉醒。最近几年,中国社会矛盾的日益尖锐,共产党官员的日益腐化,使得人们不得不站起来维护自身的权利。这期间涌现出来的“维权律师”和以赵昕为代表的维权人士从个案做起,实现从民主运动到维权运动的转变。

十七年了,八九民运的参与者们已经成熟起来,而中共政权仍然没有认错,事件的很多真相仍不被人们所知。

八九民运中绝食学生之一,现在知名的维权律师浦志强说--

浦志强:“正确与不正确我觉得都应该展开一种讨论。就像我们对文革一样,文革四十年了。对文革研究到什么程度了?研究到一个不让人研究的程度。荒唐得很!对‘六四’更是讳莫如深。不是当时杀了人之后讨还血债这个问题,而是我们应该从这样一种社会冲突中间,从这样一种人生悲剧、社会悲剧中间,去寻找避免它的办法。”

封从德和浦志强一样,也不主张向中共政权“讨还血债”。封从德在设在美国的“中国人权”组织的支援下,建立了最大的“六四档案”网站,搜集了一万五千多条与“六四”相关的条目。他说,他建立这个网站的目的就是为了“真相与和解”:“但是在消除仇恨,达致和解之前,必须要有真相。死亡的名单,伤残的名单,还有今天还有多少人仍在监狱里面,这些情况都遮遮掩掩的话,那以后是很难谈得到和解的。只有有了真相才能够和解。”

“六四”何时才能平反?

要和解,没有中共政权的配合,也只是一厢情愿。去年底,中共政权破例地公开纪念中共前总书记胡耀邦;今年初,四川“六四”死难者周国聪的家人首次获得政府“困难补助”。这两起事件被一些人认为是中共政权准备解决“六四”问题的前奏。

但是,李大同并不如此乐观----

李大同:“我们认为现在还不到时候。我们一致认为要看十七大的结果。由于胡锦涛先生的班底不是他自己选定的班底,我们想他的一些真实想法也无法得到真实地贯彻。我们希望十七大以后能有一个明显的改变。但是‘六四’问题恐怕这一代人还是解决不了的。不是说他们不清楚。有没有解决的魄力和能力,包括足够的政治资源,我想他们还不具备。”

《历史的伤口》歌词中写道:“蒙上眼睛,就以为看不见;捂上耳朵,就以为听不到;而真理在心中,创痛在胸口,还要忍多久,还要沉默多久?…… ”“六四”伤残人士齐志勇说,墨写的谎言掩盖不了血写的事实。他说他等着中共政权向他道歉的那一天。

(据自由亚洲电台录音整理)

Thursday, June 01, 2006

Ask.com (Ask Jeeves) Blog Search



The returning results seem fresher and more relevant than Google's blog search, which always displays the posts several months ago or unrelated topics. Technically speaking, "Instead of crawling the Web for blog postings to build an index to search like others do, Ask.com is using the index already created and updated by subscribers to its popular Bloglines site for searching, subscribing to, creating and sharing blogs and news feeds." And the "chess to me is..." quote from the "Run-On Chess Quote of the Day" is quite a rare finding.



By the way, some links of searching sites have been added to the right-side column.